Leeds United forward Dominic Calvert-Lewin scored a goal in Chelsea’s net that was rated with an xG of 0.9913. According to ESPN, this goal is the sixth in the ranking of the easiest goals scored in the English Premier League history.
English Premier League 2025-26
Matchweek 14, Dec. 3
Leeds United (Leeds) vs. Chelsea (London): 3-1
Goals: Jaka Bijol 6’, Ao Tanaka 43’, Dominic Calvert-Lewin 72’; Pedro Neto 50’
In the 72nd minute, Leeds forward Noah Okafor won the ball from defender Tosin Adarabioyo in the opponent’s penalty area, and the ball slipped under Chelsea goalkeeper Robert Sanchez, with Calvert-Lewin tapping it in from close range to make it 3-1. The struggling hosts secured an unexpected victory, while the title contenders lost valuable points.
After 14 matchweeks, Leeds has 14 points and sits 17th — the border before the elimination zone. Chelsea stands fourth with 24 points, falling behind Arsenal (33 pts), Manchester City (28 pts) and Aston Villa (27).
The xG (expected goals) metric, used to rate goals by their difficulty, was introduced in the 2008-09 season. The closer the value is to one, the higher the probability of scoring such a goal.
ESPN presented a top 10 list of the easiest goals, with the goal scored by Irish winger Chiedozie Ogbene of Luton Town against Brighton in January 2024 — which had an xG of 0.9981 — ranking first. However, comparing this goal to others in the ranking highlights the conventional nature of the metric.
