The Central Bank of Russia foresees the base rate decreasing to a yearly average of 13% to 14% in 2026 and 7.5% to 8.5% in 2027. These projections were outlined in the regulator’s comment to the medium-term forecast, published on May 12, following a board meeting on the base rate held on April 25, 2025.
In late April, the Bank of Russia kept the base rate at 21%. This record-high rate, set in October 2024, hasn’t changed since then. As the regulator noted, inflationary pressure is gradually easing, although it remains significant. Domestic demand still outpaces the prospects for expanding...